Consumer: Homebuilders & Building Products - 2009

Michael Rehaut of J.P. Morgan, in first place for a second straight year, “has it all — a good grasp of a company’s fundamentals.

Michael Rehaut

Michael Rehaut

Michael Rehaut J.P. Morgan

second team Ivy Zelman Zelman & Associates

third team Daniel Oppenheim Credit Suisse

Michael Rehaut of J.P. Morgan, in first place for a second straight year, “has it all — a good grasp of a company’s fundamentals, a good call on the industry’s cycle, good modeling and the right stock ratings,” avers one buy-side enthusiast. Rehaut, 36, upgraded Owens Corning to buy in July on the belief that shares of the Toledo, Ohio–based building products manufacturer were undervalued at $12.91; in early August the company reported second-quarter earnings per share of 49 cents — seven times higher than consensus estimates — and the stock took off. By late August it was up to $22.34, a 73 percent gain that beat the sector by 6 percentage points.

For a second consecutive year, Ivy Zelman of Zelman & Associates captures the No. 2 spot. “She gives you a level of research that no one else can equal,” declares one happy client. Zelman urged investors to buy NVR in March, dubbing the Reston, Virginia–based homebuilder’s shares a bargain at $320.55. The following month, after the stock had surged 54.6 percent, to $495.59, Zelman downgraded it to hold, on valuation. Since then the stock has led the sector’s 31.9 percent gain by 4.4 percentage points.

Advancing from runner-up to third place is Daniel Oppenheim of Credit Suisse, praised by one money manager for providing “very detailed, useful information.” Oppenheim upgraded KB Home, a residential developer headquartered in Los Angeles, to outperform in July, on valuation. The stock went on to outpace the sector by 5.2 percentage points through August.

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