Consumer: Beverages - 2009

For the past two years, John Faucher held third place; this year the J.P. Morgan analyst jumps to the top spot.

John Faucher

John Faucher

John Faucher J.P. Morgan

second team Michael Branca Barclays

third team Carlos Laboy Credit Suisse

For the past two years, John Faucher held third place; this year the J.P. Morgan analyst jumps to the top spot. Faucher — “one of the most experienced sell-side analysts in the sector,” according to one money manager — urged investors to buy Coca-Cola Enterprises in November, after rumors of a possible bankruptcy had left the Atlanta-based soft drinks manufacturer’s stock undervalued, at $9.67. The rumors proved false, and CCE’s stock soon began to rise. In mid-May, after the shares had skyrocketed 73.7 percent, to $16.80, and outperformed the sector by 74.6 percentage points, Faucher downgraded them to neutral, on valuation. The downgrade was premature, however; CCE’s stock climbed 20.3 percent further, through August. Faucher, 40, earned a master’s degree in business administration at Cornell University in 1993 and worked as a food analyst at Sanford C. Bernstein before joining J.P. Morgan 11 years ago.

Michael Branca of Barclays Capital repeats in second place. “His recommendations are based on a thorough understanding of the companies he covers,” says one buy-side fan, while others note that the analyst isn’t afraid to break with the consensus. Case in point: Branca initiated coverage of Plano, Texas–based Dr. Pepper Snapple Group with a contrarian overweight rating in April, at $18.50, on improving margins. The stock had bubbled up to $26.44 by late August, beating the sector by 32.2 percentage points.

Carlos Laboy of Credit Suisse takes third place. Laboy advised clients to buy Coca-Cola Co. in March, at $37.71, citing the Atlanta-based soft-drink distributor’s rising global sales. By August 31 the stock had surged 28.3 percent, to $48.37.

Click here to see the All-America Research Team rankings.

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